tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

MESA · FLIGHT YV 4002 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

YV 4002 · ELP → IAH

departs 12:30 PM MT · arrives 3:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
31% chance · ±5 pts +11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.6d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAH?

  1. On time or early
    64%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    12%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    6%
  6. Cancelled
    7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.