tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

MESA · FLIGHT YV 6159 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

YV 6159 · PVD → IAD

departs 2:40 PM ET · arrives 4:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
14% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.6d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAD?

  1. On time or early
    85%
  2. 15–30 min late
    1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.