Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
MESA · FLIGHT YV 6189SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
YV 6189 · JAX → IAD
departs 7:16 PM ET · arrives 9:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
12%chance · ±1 pts+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to IAD?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.