YX 3430 · CMH → IAD

took off 6:14 AM ET · landed 7:06 AM ET (scheduled 6:10 AM ET → 7:50 AM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to IAD?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from CMH are usually not late

Weather at each end

CMH (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

IAD (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3430 · CMH → IAD

Odds over time

How late did it get to IAD?