tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3553 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

YX 3553 · EWR → YYZ

departs 7:32 AM ET · arrives 9:17 AM EDT
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?
7% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.3d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to YYZ?

  1. On time or early
    91%
  2. 15–30 min late
    2%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.