Schedule: FAA flight plans.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5675 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 3:13 PM ET (15 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Tuesday, October 13 Today

YX 5675 · LGA → CMH

departs 2:25 PM ET · arrives 4:22 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

71% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into CMH at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CMH (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5675 · LGA → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?