Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5732
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
YX 5732 · BOS → LGA
departs 9:00 AM ET · arrives 10:22 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 18%
Thu 10/15 14%
Fri 10/16 15%
Sun 10/18 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±1 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 14% of the time recently
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.04 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.