Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5373 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

9E 5373 · MDW → DTW

departs 9:27 AM CT · arrives 11:42 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 48h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at MDW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at DTW that day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.27 in

DTW (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5373 · MDW → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?