tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5447 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

9E 5447 · YYZ → LGA

departs 10:02 AM EDT · arrives 11:35 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 37h before departure
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
15% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.4d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LGA?

  1. On time or early
    85%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.