Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 98 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

9K 98 · BOS → BHB

departs 11:18 AM ET · arrives 1:06 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 63h before departure

Arrive at BHB more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BHB?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.733333 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at BHB that day

↑ 11am departures from BOS are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.04 in

BHB (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.733333 mi Precip0.78 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 98 · BOS → BHB

Odds over time

How late will it get to BHB?