tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1009 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1009 · ORD → LAX

departs 7:04 AM CT · arrives 9:43 AM PT
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
19% chance · ±3 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.3d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LAX?

  1. On time or early
    80%
  2. 15–30 min late
    4%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.