Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1263SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1263 · PHL → LAS
departs 7:02 AM ET · arrives 9:45 AM PT
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
11%chance · ±3 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.