Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1360 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

AA 1360 · LAX → CMH

departs 10:34 AM PT · arrives 6:05 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 39h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at CMH that day

↑ 10am departures from LAX are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CMH (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.34 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1360 · LAX → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?