Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1376 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

AA 1376 · MCI → DFW

departs 7:47 AM CT · arrives 9:33 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 61h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi, 1.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCI that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ 7am departures from MCI are usually not late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.6 mi Precip0.96 in

DFW (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1376 · MCI → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?