tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1405 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1405 · PHL → CMH

departs 4:33 PM ET · arrives 6:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
26% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.7d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to CMH?

  1. On time or early
    73%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.