tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1863 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1863 · IAD → DFW

departs 7:07 PM ET · arrives 9:26 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
18% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.8d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DFW?

  1. On time or early
    82%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.