tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1926 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1926 · STL → ORD

departs 4:59 AM CT · arrives 6:19 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 51h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
20% chance · ±4 pts +6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    77%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.