Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1956SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1956 · PHX → LAS
departs 7:16 AM MT · arrives 8:39 AM PT
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 51h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
10%chance · ±3 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.