tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2123 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2123 · RDU → ORD

departs 9:33 AM ET · arrives 10:55 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
20% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.4d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    79%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.