Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2226SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2226 · PHX → SAN
departs 7:46 AM MT · arrives 9:17 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
11%chance · ±1 pts−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.