Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2348 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

AA 2348 · DFW → TUL

departs 8:39 AM CT · arrives 9:58 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 68h before departure

Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±6 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TUL?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TUL that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into TUL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TUL (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.45 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2348 · DFW → TUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to TUL?