Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2420SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2420 · SJD → PHX
departs 12:34 PM MST · arrives 2:59 PM MT
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
22%chance · ±0 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.