tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2814 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2814 · SFO → ORD

departs 9:10 AM PT · arrives 3:38 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
14% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.5d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    85%
  2. 15–30 min late
    1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.