Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2851SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2851 · DEN → ORD
departs 6:49 AM MT · arrives 10:22 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 52h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
14%chance · ±3 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.