Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2915SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2915 · LAX → PHX
departs 6:04 AM PT · arrives 7:36 AM MT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
9%chance · ±0 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.