tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3003 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 3003 · SDQ → PHL

departs 1:29 PM AST · arrives 5:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
25% chance · ±2 pts +6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.6d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    74%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.