Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3160SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 3160 · BOS → ORD
departs 6:21 PM ET · arrives 8:24 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
46%chance · ±4 pts+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.