tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 433 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 433 · SAN → PHL

departs 9:21 AM PT · arrives 5:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
21% chance · ±2 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.5d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    79%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.