Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 702 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

AA 702 · DFW → SJU

departs 9:19 AM CT · arrives 3:09 PM AT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 65h before departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±3 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SJU?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↑ Arrivals into SJU at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJU (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 702 · DFW → SJU

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJU?