tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 729 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 729 · LHR → PHL

departs 9:29 AM BST · arrives 12:16 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
14% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.2d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    85%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.