tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 819 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 819 · ORD → JFK

departs 10:28 AM CT · arrives 1:36 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 70h before departure
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
25% chance · ±1 pts −5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.5d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to JFK?

  1. On time or early
    74%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.