Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 9 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

AA 9 · DFW → ABQ

departs 5:46 PM CT · arrives 6:41 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 46h before departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±5 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ABQ?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ 5pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at DFW that day

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ABQ (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 9 · DFW → ABQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABQ?