tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA · FLIGHT AC 1501 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AC 1501 · EWR → YYZ

departs 6:36 AM ET · arrives 8:12 AM EDT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?
6% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 6.3d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to YYZ?

  1. On time or early
    93%
  2. 15–30 min late
    2%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.