Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA · FLIGHT AC 771 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

AC 771 · BOS → YYZ

departs 12:43 PM ET · arrives 2:50 PM EDT

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 51h before departure

Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YYZ?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 12pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at BOS that day

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ YYZ usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

YYZ (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AC 771 · BOS → YYZ

Odds over time

How late will it get to YYZ?