tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1456 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 1456 · LAX → SFO

departs 9:10 AM PT · arrives 10:35 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
20% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.5d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SFO?

  1. On time or early
    79%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.