tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1867 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 1867 · SFO → PDX

departs 9:02 AM PT · arrives 10:51 AM PT
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 56h before departure
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
11% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.5d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PDX?

  1. On time or early
    88%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.