tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 2613 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 2613 · JFK → AFW

departs 1:47 AM ET · arrives 4:48 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Arrive at AFW more than 15 minutes late?
14% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.1d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to AFW?

  1. On time or early
    85%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.