tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 405 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 405 · SEA → OKC

departs 8:18 AM PT · arrives 1:57 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
28% chance · ±1 pts −5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.5d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to OKC?

  1. On time or early
    72%
  2. 15–30 min late
    19%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.