Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 506SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 506 · SAN → IAD
departs 9:47 AM PT · arrives 5:36 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 62h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
16%chance · ±2 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to IAD?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.