Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 772SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 772 · SEA → SMF
departs 11:48 AM PT · arrives 1:40 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
28%chance · ±5 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SMF?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.