Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 786SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 786 · BWI → SEA
departs 7:03 AM ET · arrives 9:53 AM PT
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
19%chance · ±1 pts+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.