tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 834 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 834 · HNL → SFO

departs 12:09 AM HT · arrives 8:13 AM PT
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
13% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.3d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SFO?

  1. On time or early
    86%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.