Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1133
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
B6 1133 · MCO → SJU
departs 12:32 PM ET · arrives 3:41 PM AT
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Tue 10/13 18%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 23%
Fri 10/16 25%
Sat 10/17 32%
Sun 10/18 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 4,800 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
SJU (destination)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 1,600 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.