Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1293
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
B6 1293 · BOS → ILM
departs 11:36 AM ET · arrives 1:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Mon 10/12 22%
Tue 10/13 12%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 14%
Fri 10/16 17%
Sat 10/17 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at ILM more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ILM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at ILM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ILM?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi forecast at BOS that day
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ILM usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.6 mi Precip 0.04 in
ILM (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.