Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 154
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
B6 154 · SJU → FLL
departs 4:25 PM AT · arrives 7:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Tue 10/13 26%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 42%
Fri 10/16 38%
Sat 10/17 39%
Sun 10/18 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
FLL (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.