Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1823
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
B6 1823 · FLL → MSY
departs 3:05 PM ET · arrives 4:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Tue 10/13 22%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 34%
Fri 10/16 38%
Sat 10/17 30%
Sun 10/18 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 42% of the time recently
↑
3pm departures from FLL are often late
↑
Arrivals into MSY at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MSY (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.