Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 203
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
B6 203 · BOS → BDA
departs 8:18 AM ET · arrives 11:40 AM ADT
Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Tue 10/13 24%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 17%
Fri 10/16 18%
Sat 10/17 19%
Sun 10/18 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at BDA more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±3 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BDA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at BDA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BDA?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at BOS that day
↑
This route's recent record
↑
BOS is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.08 in
BDA (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.