Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2185
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
B6 2185 · BOS → PIT
departs 5:53 PM ET · arrives 7:48 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Tue 10/13 58%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 37%
Fri 10/16 46%
Sat 10/17 37%
Sun 10/18 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±4 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at PIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIT?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at PIT that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
PIT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 20 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 0.5 mi
Precip 0.01 in
PIT (destination)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 1,700 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.