Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2829
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
B6 2829 · BOS → SDQ
departs 11:22 AM ET · arrives 3:42 PM AST
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Mon 10/12 37%
Tue 10/13 27%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 20%
Fri 10/16 25%
Sat 10/17 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at SDQ more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SDQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at SDQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SDQ?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi forecast at BOS that day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SDQ usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.6 mi Precip 0.04 in
SDQ (destination)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.