Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 41
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
B6 41 · FLL → MDE
departs 11:47 AM ET · arrives 2:21 PM -05
Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Tue 10/13 19%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 24%
Fri 10/16 25%
Sat 10/17 26%
Sun 10/18 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDE more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at MDE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDE?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This route's recent record
↑
11am departures from FLL are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDE
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MDE (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.